It is hard to tell whether the relative calm that the Eid al-Fitr break, marking the end of the Muslim month of Ramadan, has dampened tensions in Lebanon or whether this is the calm before the storm. With a raging battle next door, and a regime that has not given its people respite since violence erupted nearly six months ago, many Lebanese are fearful of what the outcome would be for their country. The official stance of the Lebanese government so far has been support for the Syrian regime and a refusal to "interfere" in another country's affairs, but frustration is starting to increase, potentially leading to armed clashes among various groups.

This week, Lebanon backed the Syrian President in rejecting an Arab League statement calling for an end to the violence. In a statement released after an urgent meeting held on Saturday, the Arab League called on Assad to "go back to rationalism before it's too late." The Syrian government rejected the statement, and Lebanon followed suit. In a similar manner, last month, Lebanon's deputy ambassador to the UN Security Council dissociated the country from a presidential statement criticizing the Syrian leadership for its brutality.

Lebanon's foreign policy on Syria has pitted it against many regional and international countries. Even Turkey, old-time ally of the Syrian regime, has changed its position. Ankara announced that it lost faith in the regime and that it is too late for reforms. This week, Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoglu engaged in discussions with their Lebanese counterparts, in a bid to maintain calm in the region.

Fouad Siniora, former Lebanese prime minister, visited Turkey on Thursday for meetings with Erdogan and Davutoglu. Davutoglu also met with an adviser to Lebanese Prime Minister Najib Mikati who was visiting Istanbul. Turkish officials encouraged their Lebanese counterparts to revisit their stance on Syria, telling them that "if Lebanese political actors somehow encourage Syrian president Bashar al-Assad's current approach, then the country may have to face the same destiny as Syria, which is further isolation from the international community."

Siniora, and the March 14 coalition, have condemned the Syrian regime's "open massacres." Hezbollah, on the other hand, continues to support the regime. The political disagreements have spilled to the streets, causing violent clashes between Shiite and Sunni groups. In the northern city of Tripoli, anti-Assad groups clashed with the city's Alawite community  recently. Alawite inhabitants of one of the city's districts, Jebel Mohsen, raised banners supporting the Syrian regime, which provoked the majority Sunni population which opposes Assad.

Another hot spot for conflict in Lebanon is the Palestinian camps north and south of the capital. The Assad regime, which continues to link Syria's stability to Lebanon's civil peace, may target those camps to disrupt stability. As the national security forces have no access to the armed camps, conflicts may quickly turn violent. Pro-Syrian Palestinian factions have reportedly on numerous occasions engaged in armed conflict with other groups - the most notorious of which was a month-long war in the northern camp of Nahr Al Bared in 2007.

Finally, there is a threat on the Lebanese-Israeli borders. The UNIFIL's mandate has been extended for another year, but many still fear that the recent bombings of UNIFIL convoys in the South were a message from the Syrian regime, which was trying to settle scores with European countries, such as France and Italy.

Lebanon's long and tumultuous relationship with Syria has kept it in the orbit of the Syrian regime. As the upheaval in Syria rages on, Lebanon braces for an uneasy period ahead.